نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی - کاربردی

نویسندگان

1 گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه صنعتی شاهرود، شاهرود، ایران.

2 گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد، مشهد، ایران.

چکیده

هدف: هدف از این تحقیق، مقایسه اثر مصرف انواع انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر و تجدیدناپذیر بر رفاه اقتصادی استان‌های ایران طی دوره 1398-1379است. در این تحقیق از روش داده‌های تابلویی (Panel Data) استفاده شد.
روش‌شناسی پژوهش: جامعه آماری مورد مطالعه در این تحقیق شامل استان‌های ایران است. اطلاعات سری زمانی در مورد این استان‌ها از داده‌های موجود در ترازنامه انرژی، مرکز آمار و بانک داده های اقتصادی و مالی ایران جمع‌آوری شده است که با استفاده از نرم ‌افزار Eviews مورد آزمون قرار گرفت. متغیرهای استفاده شده در این تحقیق شامل: مصرف انواع انرژی های تجدیدپذیر و تجدیدناپذیر (خورشیدی، آبی، بادی، زمین‌گرایی، نفت، گاز و بنزین)، رفاه اقتصادی، جمعیت، نیروی کار، بیکاری، تورم، توزیع درآمد (ضریب جینی) و تولید ناخالص داخلی حقیقی می باشند.
یافته‎‌ها: نتایج بدست آمده نشان می دهد که مصرف انواع انرژی های تجدیدپذیر تأثیر مثبت و معنی‌دار و مصرف انواع انرژی های تجدیدناپذیر تأثیر منفی و معنی‌دار بر رفاه اقتصادی در پی دارد. بر این اساس می توان بیان کرد که افزایش مصرف انواع انرژی های تجدیدپذیر می تواند پیشرفت قابل توجهی را در جهت رفاه اقتصادی و سرعت بخشیدن به اهداف توسعه ای مربوط به رشد اقتصادی در این استان ها به ارمغان آورد. همچنین متغیرهای نرخ بیکاری، نرخ تورم و نابرابری توزیع درآمد (ضریب جینی) تأثیر منفی و معنی‌دار و متغیرهای نرخ رشد جمعیت، تولید ناخالص داخلی و بهره وری نیروی کار تأثیر مثبت و معنی دار بر رفاه اقتصادی دارند که مطابق با مبانی نظری تحقیق می‌باشد.
اصالت/ارزش افزوده علمی: نتایج نشان داد که استفاده از انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر در استان‌های ایران با توجه به اینکه تأثیر بیشتری در مقایسه با انرژی‌های تجدیدناپذیر جهت افزایش رفاه اقتصادی دارد، با سرمایه‌گذاری در این واحد تولیدی می‌توان سهم استفاده از انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر را در ایران افزایش داد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Comparing the Impact of Renewable and Non-Renewable Energy Consumption on the Economic Welfare of Iranian Provinces Using a Panel Data Approach

نویسندگان [English]

  • Mahmoud Rahimi 1
  • Mohammad Mirbagherijam 1
  • Ebrahim Ghaed 2
  • Akram Noorani 1

1 Department of Economics, Shahroud University of Technology, Shahroud, Iran.

2 Department of Economics, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran.

چکیده [English]

Purpose: This study aims to compare the impact of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption on the economic welfare of Iranian provinces from 2000 to 2019.
Methodology: The Panel Data model was used in this research. The statistical population includes research on the provinces of Iran. Time series information about these provinces has been collected from data available in the Energy Balance, Statistics Center, and Iran Economic and Financial Database, which was tested using Eviews software. Variables used in this study include consumption of renewable energy and non-renewable energy sources (solar, hydropower, wind, geothermal, oil, gas, and gasoline), economic welfare, population, labour, unemployment rate, inflation rate, income distribution inequality (Gini coefficient) and real GDP.
Findings: The results showed that the consumption of renewable energy has a positive and significant impact, and the consumption of non-renewable energy has a negative and significant impact on welfare. Also, the variables of the unemployment rate, inflation rate, and income distribution inequality (Gini coefficient) have a negative and significant effect, and the variables of population growth rate, GDP, and labour productivity have a positive and significant impact on economic welfare.
Originality/Value: The study showed that using renewable energy in the provinces of Iran has a more significant effect than non-renewable energy in increasing economic welfare. Investing in this production unit can improve the share of renewable energy use in Iran

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Renewable Energies Consumption
  • Non-Renewable Energies Consumption
  • Economic Welfare
  • Provinces of Iran
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