نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه صنعتی شاهرود، شاهرود، ایران.

2 گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه فردوسی ایلام، ایلام، ایران.

10.22105/imos.2022.315517.1188

چکیده

هدف: هدف اصلی این مقاله بررسی رابطه علیت بین فقر و فساد در کشورهای خاورمیانه طی سال‌های 1398-1390 با استفاده از آزمون علیت گرنجر، گرنجر-هشیائو، تودا و یاماماتو در داده‌های تابلویی (Panel Data) می‌باشد.
روش‌شناسی پژوهش: جامعه آماری موردمطالعه در این تحقیق شامل کشورهای عضو خاورمیانه است. اطلاعات پانل دیتا در‌ مورد این کشورها از منابع معتبر بین‌المللی، از‌جمله بانک جهانی جمع‌آوری‌شده است که با استفاده از نرم‌‌افزار Eviews مورد آزمون قرار گرفت. متغیرهای استفاده‌شده در این تحقیق شامل فقر نسبی، فساد، متغیرها تولید ناخالص داخلی، نیروی ‌کار، سرمایه‌گذاری عمرانی، نرخ تورم، نرخ بیکاری و نرخ رشد دستمزد می­‌باشند.
یافته‌ها: نتایج مطالعه حاکی از بین متغیر فقر و فساد در کشورهای خاورمیانه، یک رابطه علیت یک‌طرفه از سوی فقر به فساد در کشورهای خاورمیانه برقرار است به این معنا که با افزایش فقر، فساد افزایش پیدا می‌کند. این رابطه علیت یک‌طرفه در هر دو رویکرد علیت تایید می‌شود.
اصالت/ارزش‌افزوده علمی: نتایج نشان داد که دولت با ارایه آموزش‌های صحیح می‌تواند از بروز خیلی از فساد­ها جلوگیری کند و هم‌چنین با ایجاد پایگاه‌های آموزشی در سطح کشورها و دسترسی آسان به آن برای عموم مردم به هوشیاری مردم اضافه کند. سپس توجه و بررسی مشکلات همه طبقات مردم نه‌فقط بررسی مشکلات قشر خاصی از مردم و حل مشکلات تا ‌حد‌ امکان باعث ایجاد انگیزه در مردم شده که کم‌تر به سمت‌و‌سوی فساد بروند و با دادن کمک‌های بلاعوض به قشر‌های ضعیف جامعه تا حدی از بروز این مشکلات جلوگیری نماید.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Investigating the Causal Relationship between Poverty and Corruption in the Middle Eastern Countries (Granger-Hsiao, Toda and Yamamoto Causality Approach in Panel Data)

نویسندگان [English]

  • Hadis Piri 1
  • Aziz Maraseli 2

1 Department of Economics, Shahroud University of Technology, Shahroud, Iran.

2 Department of Economics, Ferdowsi University of Ilam, Ilam, Iran.

چکیده [English]

Purpose: The main objective of this paper is to investigate the relationship between poverty and corruption in Middle Eastern countries over the years 1390-1398 using the Granger - Granger causality test, granger and Yamamoto in the panel data.
Methodology: The population studied includes countries in the Middle East. Data panels on these countries have been collected from reliable international sources, including the World Bank, and tested using Eviews software. The variables used in this study include comparative poverty, corruption, gross domestic production variables, labour force, inflation rate, unemployment rate, and wage growth rate.
Findings: The study results show that the relationship between poverty and corruption in Middle Eastern countries is a one-way causality relationship from poverty to corruption in the Middle Eastern countries, meaning that by increasing poverty, corruption increases. This unilateral causality relationship is confirmed unilateral in both causality approaches.
Originality/Value: The study showed that by providing proper training, the government could prevent corruption and increase public awareness by creating educational bases at the level of countries and providing easy access to them for the general public. Then, the government, considering the problems of all classes of people, motivates them to go less towards corruption as much as possible. Also, providing gratuitous assistance to society's weak classes will prevent these problems as much as possible.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Poverty
  • Corruption
  • Granger causality
  • Granger–Hsiao
  • Toda and Yamamoto
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